Platensevs
Isidro Metapán
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Isidro Metapán · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense 1-2 Isidro Metapán
Original prediction
Isidro Metapán
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 27.9% | 31.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.9% | 29.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.1% | 39.3% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Isidro Metapán
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20