Platensevs
Instituto Cordoba
COMPLETEDArgentina · Copa Argentina · 8/28/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Instituto Cordoba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense 1-1 Instituto Cordoba
Original prediction
Instituto Cordoba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 26.2% | 30.8% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.9% | 30.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.9% | 38.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Instituto Cordoba
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Instituto Cordoba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20