Platensevs
Fuerte San Francisco
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Platense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Platense 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco
Original prediction
Platense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.2% | 49.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.7% | 27.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.2% | 22.8% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Platense 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Platense
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Platense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20