Platensevs
Fluminense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Platense 0-0 Fluminense, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense 2-1 Fluminense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 34.2% | 31.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 32.7% | 33.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 33.1% | 35.8% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Platense 0–0 Fluminense
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PlatenseLLDLD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FluminenseLWWDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PlatenseFluminense
33.3Attack37.0
63.0Defence70.4
44.4Form48.1
49.3Power53.7
0.68xG0.79