Platensevs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Copa Argentina · 10/2/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense 1-0 Estudiantes L.P.
Original prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.74 | 24.9% | 27.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 33.7% | 30.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 41.4% | 42.1% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40