GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Platense 0-0 Deportivo Riestra, with an exact score probability of 42%.

Prediction record

Final result

Platense 1-1 Deportivo Riestra

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6036.0%28.6%-7.4 pts
Draw2.7733.9%41.4%7.5 pts
Away3.1230.0%29.9%-0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.77 · Draw 1.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.5 pts

Projected Score

Platense 0–0 Deportivo Riestra

Exact score probability: 42%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlatenseLDWDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RiestraDDDLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
PlatenseDeportivo Riestra
24.6Attack17.4
62.3Defence73.9
34.8Form27.5
43.3Power41.4
0.42xG0.47
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