GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 5/3/2023, 8:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Platense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Platense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Platense hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Copa Argentina, while Platense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Platense

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Platense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PlatenseLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoDLDWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PlatenseDefensores De Belgrano
16.7Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power15.3
1.42xG0.83
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