GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Platense Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.6% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

63.5%

Model confidence

19.6%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Platense Res.WLWLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente Res.DLWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Platense Res.Independiente Res.
25.8Attack76.8
63.6Defence69.6
42.4Form69.6
46.0Power69.4
0.47xG1.57
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