Platense Res.vs
Defensa y Justicia Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Platense Res. 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Res., with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense Res. 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Res.
Original prediction
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.1% | 27.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.4% | 30.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.5% | 42.3% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Projected Score
Platense Res. 0–1 Defensa y Justicia Res.
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60