Platense Res.vs
Boca Juniors Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Platense Res. 0-1 Boca Juniors Res., with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense Res. 0-2 Boca Juniors Res.
Original prediction
Boca Juniors Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.61 | 16.0% | 19.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 29.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.5% | 51.4% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Platense Res. 0–1 Boca Juniors Res.
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors Res.
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Boca Juniors Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60