Platense FCvs
Lobos Upnfm
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Platense FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense FC 0-2 Lobos Upnfm
Original prediction
Platense FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.3% | 37.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.0% | 27.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.7% | 35.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Platense FC
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Platense FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80