Platense FCvs
Juticalpa
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Platense FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense FC 2-1 Juticalpa
Original prediction
Platense FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.0% | 40.2% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.1% | 25.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 23.9% | 34.3% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Platense FC
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Platense FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40