Platense FCvs
CD Motagua
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Motagua · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Platense FC 0-2 CD Motagua
Original prediction
CD Motagua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.60 | 19.7% | 14.3% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 21.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.3% | 64.5% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
CD Motagua
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40