GGOALVIO

Nigeria · NPFL · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plateau United · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Plateau United 0-0 Shooting Stars, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Plateau United 3-1 Shooting Stars

Original prediction

Plateau United

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.1%40.6%-18.5 pts
Draw3.3726.7%30.7%4.1 pts
Away6.3214.2%28.7%14.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-18.5 pts

Projected Score

Plateau United 0–0 Shooting Stars

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Plateau United

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Plateau United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Plateau UnitedDWLWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Shooting StarsWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Plateau UnitedShooting Stars
22.2Attack37.0
66.7Defence64.8
44.4Form42.6
47.5Power49.8
0.84xG0.82
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