Plateau Unitedvs
Kwara United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plateau United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Plateau United 1-0 Kwara United, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Plateau United 1-0 Kwara United
Original prediction
Plateau United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.0% | 57.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 27.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 8.02 | 11.3% | 14.9% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Projected Score
Plateau United 1–0 Kwara United
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Plateau United
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Plateau United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80