Plateau Unitedvs
Kano Pillars
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plateau United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Plateau United 4-0 Kano Pillars
Original prediction
Plateau United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.1% | 43.7% | -17.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 28.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 6.99 | 13.0% | 28.2% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Plateau United
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Plateau United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60