Plateau Unitedvs
Inter Lagos
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plateau United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Plateau United 1-0 Inter Lagos, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Plateau United 2-0 Inter Lagos
Original prediction
Plateau United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.8% | 54.4% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.3% | 26.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 11.42 | 7.9% | 19.2% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Projected Score
Plateau United 1–0 Inter Lagos
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Plateau United
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Plateau United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40