Planaltina DFvs
Legião
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasiliense B · 10/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Planaltina DF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Planaltina DF 2-3 Legião
Original prediction
Planaltina DF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.8% | 36.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.8% | 28.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.4% | 35.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Planaltina DF
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Planaltina DF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40