Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
PKKU are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while TPV are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
9.5%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20