Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PKKU 3-1 Rops
Original prediction
Rops
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.4% | 39.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.1% | 20.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.5% | 39.8% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PKKULWDDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RopsDWLDW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PKKURops
60.9Attack69.6
52.2Defence52.2
50.7Form59.4
55.4Power60.0
1.88xG1.89