Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PKKU are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rops are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20