Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
PKKU are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KPV-j are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 20.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
86.6%
Model confidence
12.1%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80