Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KäPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
PKKU are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KäPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 49.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Suomen Cup, while KäPa holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KäPa
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
7.3%
KäPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20