Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
PKKU are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while JJK are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
7.2%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80