Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
PK-35 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60