GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 5/12/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

PK-35 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PK-35

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PK-35WDLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SJK AkatemiaWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PK-35SJK Akatemia
54.4Attack15.8
75.4Defence56.1
66.7Form21.1
65.7Power34.1
1.70xG0.37
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