Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
PK-35 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SalPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
73.1%
Model confidence
73.1%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20