Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
73.1%
Model confidence
73.1%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60