Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MP are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40