Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
PK-35 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FC Lahti are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60