Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
PK-35 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
72.7%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20