Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PK-35 0-3 Kooteepee
Original prediction
PK-35
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.9% | 40.1% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.4% | 27.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.6% | 32.7% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PK-35WDWWD
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KooteepeeWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PK-35Kooteepee
59.4Attack59.4
78.3Defence69.6
69.6Form78.3
68.8Power70.6
1.16xG0.91