Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
PK-35 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
19.2%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00