Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
PK-35 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80