Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
PK-35 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while JäPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40