Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
PK-35 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JIPPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00