Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PK-35 1-1 FF Jaro
Original prediction
PK-35
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 October 2026 at 11:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.9% | 45.6% | 17.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.3% | 27.4% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.8% | 27.1% | -13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PK-35WLDLW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FF JaroDWDDL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
PK-35FF Jaro
50.0Attack27.2
50.0Defence39.5
50.0Form25.9
50.0Power33.5
1.99xG0.69