GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 5/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

PK-35 Vantaa W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Ilves are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilves

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

7.8%

Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PK-35 Vantaa WLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
IlvesWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PK-35 Vantaa WIlves
42.2Attack60.0
17.8Defence35.6
22.2Form48.9
28.7Power49.3
1.68xG2.94
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