GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

PK-35 Vantaa W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while HPS W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS W hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HPS W

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

10.3%

HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PK-35 Vantaa WLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HPS WDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PK-35 Vantaa WHPS W
42.2Attack48.9
17.8Defence62.2
22.2Form60.0
28.7Power58.4
0.96xG2.46
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