Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Original prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 29.2% | 24.7% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.4% | 28.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.4% | 46.7% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00