Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
16.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20