Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Phoenix Rising
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the USL Championship, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
17.2%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80