GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the USL Championship, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

17.2%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Phoenix RisingLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPhoenix Rising
35.1Attack42.1
64.9Defence54.4
47.4Form38.6
51.2Power46.4
1.05xG0.80
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