Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Loudoun United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Loudoun United, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Loudoun United
Original prediction
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.1% | 54.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 25.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.5% | 19.8% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 Loudoun United
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00