Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Lexington
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lexington are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lexington
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20