GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the USL League One Cup, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Greenville TriumphLWWLD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsGreenville Triumph
50.0Attack33.3
91.7Defence41.7
66.7Form25.0
69.5Power35.2
1.84xG0.84
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