Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 Birmingham Legion, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 Birmingham Legion
Original prediction
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 49.0% | 45.5% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 28.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 23.2% | 25.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Projected Score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–0 Birmingham Legion
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40