Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjelovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pitomača are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Bjelovar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bjelovar hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bjelovar holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bjelovar
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Bjelovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/1.25
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80