GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Piteå W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Piteå W 1-1 Norrköping W

Original prediction

Piteå W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0643.9%53.9%10.0 pts
Draw3.4626.2%25.0%-1.2 pts
Away3.0329.9%21.1%-8.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.2–012%

Predicted outcome

Piteå W

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Piteå W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Piteå WWLDLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Norrköping WWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Piteå WNorrköping W
38.3Attack28.3
51.7Defence41.7
38.3Form26.7
44.2Power33.6
1.50xG0.73
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