Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Piteå are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Umeå FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Piteå hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Piteå holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60