Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Piteå are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Stocksund are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Piteå hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Ettan - Norra, while Piteå holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50