Piteåvs
Sollentuna
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piteå · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Piteå 1-1 Sollentuna
Original prediction
Piteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.7% | 37.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.7% | 25.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.6% | 37.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Piteå
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Piteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PiteåDDWWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SollentunaWLLDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PiteåSollentuna
42.3Attack36.0
37.2Defence53.3
29.5Form36.0
38.6Power44.1
1.27xG1.28